MX23RW : Monday, May 20 03:25:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 21
Jul 16, 2023 at 11am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Reysol

Dawhan (10'), Meshino (46'), Alano (67' pen.)
Yamamoto (14'), Kurokawa (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hosoya (21')
Takamine (90+9')
Shiihashi (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Kashiwa Reysol, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Shonan Bellmare
Saturday, July 8 at 11am in J1 League

We said: Gamba Osaka 1-0 Kashiwa Reysol

Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday. Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
52.48% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06) 26.12% (0.020999999999997 0.02) 21.4% (0.044999999999998 0.04)
Both teams to score 44.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.97% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)58.03% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.29% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)78.71% (0.023999999999987 0.02)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.23% (0.041 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.35% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)55.65% (0.061 0.06)
Kashiwa Reysol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.5% (0.028999999999996 0.03)42.49% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.027000000000001 0.03)78.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 52.47%
    Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%
    Draw 26.11%
Gamba OsakaDrawKashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.2%
2-0 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.35% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 52.47%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 26.11%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 21.4%

How you voted: Gamba Osaka vs Reysol

Gamba Osaka
100%
Draw
0.0%
Kashiwa Reysol
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 6am
Gameweek 1
Reysol
2-2
Gamba Osaka
Katayama (42')
Usami (49'), Dawhan (54')
Oct 1, 2022 8am
May 14, 2022 11am
Gameweek 13
Reysol
0-1
Gamba Osaka
Dawhan (71')
Nakamura (51')
Sep 26, 2021 11am
Gameweek 30
Gamba Osaka
2-1
Reysol
Usami (3'), Suganuma (26')
Kamiya (86')
Apr 11, 2021 9am
Gameweek 9
Reysol
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Otani (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia15102325111432
2Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1592424111329
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers159242417729
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka157441411325
5Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus158161816225
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa157352520524
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo156542117423
8FC Tokyo156542624223
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1457225141122
10Kashiwa ReysolReysol145631616021
11Avispa Fukuoka154741316-319
12Tokyo Verdy153932023-318
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama134541818017
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki154472223-116
15Albirex Niigata154471823-516
16Jubilo Iwata154381922-315
17Sagan Tosu154292127-614
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare153572027-714
19Consadole SapporoConsadole152581328-1511
20Kyoto Sanga1523101129-189


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