Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 50.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 24.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.