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J1 League | Gameweek 33
Oct 29, 2022 at 7am UK
Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka

Shonan Bellmare
3 - 0
Sagan Tosu

Machino (7', 21'), Yamamoto (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koizumi (89')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Shonan Bellmare and Sagan Tosu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vissel Kobe 1-0 Shonan Bellmare
Wednesday, October 12 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Urawa 2-1 Sagan Tosu
Saturday, October 8 at 7am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shonan Bellmare win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shonan Bellmare win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shonan Bellmare would win this match.

Result
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
40.46% (-0.316 -0.32) 27.46% (0.138 0.14) 32.07% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 48.82% (-0.36 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.29% (-0.483 -0.48)56.7% (0.481 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.389 -0.39)77.66% (0.38900000000001 0.39)
Shonan Bellmare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (-0.399 -0.4)27.48% (0.399 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.52 -0.52)62.97% (0.519 0.52)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.126 -0.13)32.68% (0.125 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.14 -0.14)69.23% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Shonan Bellmare 40.45%
    Sagan Tosu 32.07%
    Draw 27.46%
Shonan BellmareDrawSagan Tosu
1-0 @ 11.59% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.165 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.46%
0-1 @ 10.04% (0.148 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.065 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.09% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 6am
Sagan Tosu
1-1
Shonan Bellmare
Fujiwara (24')
Machino (68')
Nagaki (90+1')
Oct 16, 2021 6am
Feb 27, 2021 6am
Shonan Bellmare
0-1
Sagan Tosu

Nakamura (62')
Hayashi (80' pen.)
Yamashita (5'), Dudu (45')
Oct 25, 2020 5am
Sagan Tosu
2-2
Shonan Bellmare
Cho (34'), Hayashi (75')
Miya (66')
Barada (20'), Ibusuki (45+2')
Oct 21, 2020 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia16112327121535
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers16102427171032
3Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1692524121229
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka168441511428
5FC Tokyo177552725226
6Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus168261917226
7Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa167362622424
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo166642218424
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1558226151123
10Avispa Fukuoka165741517-222
11Kashiwa ReysolReysol165741721-422
12Tokyo Verdy164932123-221
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama145542218420
14Jubilo Iwata165382224-218
15Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki164572324-117
16Albirex Niigata164481925-616
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare163582230-814
19Consadole SapporoConsadole162591331-1811
20Kyoto Sanga1624101230-1810


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