Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Kawasaki Frontale had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.
