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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 10, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
America Mineiro

Juventude
1 - 1
America Mineiro

Dawhan (44')
Jadson (20'), Paulinho (49'), Dawhan (50'), Matheus (71'), Forster (81'), Vinicios (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Juninho (12')
Ademir (21'), Silva (45+1'), Egea (88')

Preview: Juventude vs. America Mineiro - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Juventude and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to rise into the Copa Sudamericana places in the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A standings, Juventude play host to America Mineiro at the Estadio Alfredo Jaconi on Saturday.

The visitors, meanwhile, head into the game off the back of an impressive win over Palmeiras and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling.


Match preview

Juventude's Elton celebrates with teammates after the match on June 27, 2021© Reuters

Juventude saw their run of two games without defeat come to an end last Wednesday courtesy of a 3-1 defeat at the hands of Sport Recife.

In a pulsating affair at the Ilha do Retiro Stadium, Ze Welison, Mikael and Chico netted to put the Leao three goals up before Sao Paulo loanee Paulinho Boia grabbed a consolation goal from the spot in the 80th minute.

Prior to that, Juve cruised to a comfortable 3-0 win over Santos on September 26, before forcing a share of the spoils versus Palmeiras one week later.

Marquinhos Santos's side have now managed just one win from their most recent nine league outings and that poor run of results sees them occupy 15th place in the Serie A table.

While they will be looking to end the dry spell this weekend, they take on an opposing side who are unbeaten in five of the last six encounters between the sides, picking up three wins and two draws.

America Mineiro, on the other hand, made it two wins from two last time out when they edged out Palmeiras 2-1 at the Arena Independencia.

Patric cancelled out Rony's first-half opener in the 73rd minute before Ademir converted his 93rd-minute spot kick to complete the comeback and condemn Abel Ferreira's side to a second defeat in four games.

Prior to that, Vagner Mancini's men claimed a 2-0 win at Cuiaba, where Mauro Zarate and Ademir scored in either half to end their run of three consecutive draws.

America Mineiro, who are currently 10th on the log, head into Saturday's game unbeaten in their last seven outings, claiming four wins and three draws since a 2-0 loss to Bragantino on August 24.

Juventude Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W


Team News

Juventude manager Marquinhos Santos pictured in 2019© Reuters

Juventude will remain without the services of Brazilian midfielder Elton, who trudged off the pitch with a muscle injury on the stroke of half time in July's game against Internacional.

On the back of his side's poor display against Sport Recife last time out, Santos will consider tinkering his starting XI this weekend, meaning Boia could return to the fold for his 15th start of the season.

Despite his side's struggles, veteran forward Ricardo Bueno has been on song for Juve Papo, netting five times in his last seven outings, and the 34-year-old will be one to look out for in this one.

America Mineiro, on the other hand, will take to the pitch without Orlando Berrio, who came off injured against Athletico Paranaense back in September.

Eduardo is also out of contention for this weekend's tie as the Brazilian defender is currently recuperating from an injury he sustained against Sport Recife back in July.

Juventude possible starting lineup:
Friedrich; Macedo, Quintero, Mendes, Matheus; Sorriso, Castilho, Jadson, Dawhan, Capixaba; Roberson

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Cavichioli; Lopes, Silva, Patric, Bauermann; Ale, Kal, Zarate; Azavedo, Ademir, Daniel


SM words green background

We say: Juventude 1-1 America Mineiro

Juventude head into the game in a poor run of results, claiming one win from their last nine outings, and next up is the daunting task of taking on an in-form American Mineiro side who are unbeaten in their last seven outings and have lost just once in the last 12.

However, we predict the spoils will be shared in this one as the visitors have struggled to get going on the road this season, picking up two wins from their 11 games.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 27.58%.

The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Juventude vs America Mineiro

Juventude
36.4%
Draw
36.4%
America Mineiro
27.3%
11
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Flamengo's Bruno Henrique celebrates scoring their third goal with Filipe Luis and teammates on August 1, 2021
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2PalmeirasPalmeiras31187653252861
3FortalezaFortaleza3116964132957
4FlamengoFlamengo31167850371355
5InternacionalInternacional311411642281453
6Sao Paulo31156104233951
7Bahia31137114237546
8Cruzeiro31128113633344
9Vasco da GamaVasco31127123643-743
10Atletico Mineiro30101194245-341
11Gremio31115153639-338
12CriciumaCriciuma31910123844-637
13Fluminense31106152632-636
14Vitoria31105163545-1035
15Corinthians31811123540-535
16Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3097143237-534
17BragantinoBragantino31810133440-634
18JuventudeJuventude31810133848-1034
19Cuiaba3169162541-1627
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3157192350-2722


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