We said: FC Twente 0-2 Ajax
Twente will be a threat to Ajax in this affair and have the ability to knock their visitors out of the KNVB Cup on Thursday.
However, we believe that Ajax's attacking style and rejuvenated potency in front of goal will be too much in the end for Twente to be able to cope with, and that they will eventually break down the hosts.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.72%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.89%) and 0-1 (7.61%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.