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La Liga | Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Atletico Madrid logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 0
Atletico

Hermoso (8' og.), Williams (56' pen.)
Garcia (25'), Williams (68'), Berenguer (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hermoso (1'), Mandava (18'), Lodi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Only Cadiz (13) have drawn more league matches than Athletic (12) this season, and we fancy the Basque outfit to secure a share of the spoils here. Atletico need to win to strengthen their grip on a top-four spot, but the champions struggled against Granada last time out and might have to settle for another point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
38.86%26.56%34.58%
Both teams to score 52.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29%52.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65%74.35%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.51%26.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.32%61.69%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.98%29.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08%64.92%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 38.86%
    Atletico Madrid 34.58%
    Draw 26.56%
Athletic BilbaoDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.39%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.72%
3-0 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.3%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.86%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.51%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.43%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 34.58%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Atletico

Athletic Bilbao
22.1%
Draw
32.6%
Atletico Madrid
45.3%
95
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2022 7pm
Atletico
1-2
Athletic Bilbao
Simeone (62' og.)
Vrsaljko (90+1')
Gimenez (90+3')
Alvarez (77'), Williams (81')
Martinez (83'), Vesga (90'), Williams (90+1')
Sep 18, 2021 3.15pm
Atletico
0-0
Athletic Bilbao

Kondogbia (36'), Felix (78'), Savic (79'), Cunha (90'), Gimenez (90+7')
Felix (78')

Garcia (30'), Williams Arthuer (82')
Apr 25, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Atletico
Berenguer (8'), Martinez (86')
Sancet (44'), Vencedor (61'), Garcia (66'), Lopez (90+2')
Savic (77')
Llorente (11'), Torreira (81')
Mar 10, 2021 6pm
Atletico
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Llorente (45+2'), Suarez (51' pen.)
Felipe (43'), Lodi (90+4')
Muniain (21')
de Marcos (38'), Vesga (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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