Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 75.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 9.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10%) and 1-0 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
75.58% | 15.25% | 9.16% |
Both teams to score 49.13% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% | 36.22% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% | 58.34% |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.98% | 8.02% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.73% | 28.27% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.42% | 46.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.83% | 82.17% |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Alaves |
2-0 @ 11.89% 3-0 @ 10% 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 6.31% 4-1 @ 4.82% 5-0 @ 3.18% 3-2 @ 2.92% 5-1 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 1.84% 6-0 @ 1.34% 6-1 @ 1.02% 5-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.72% Total : 75.57% | 1-1 @ 7.21% 0-0 @ 3.74% 2-2 @ 3.47% Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.26% | 0-1 @ 2.86% 1-2 @ 2.75% 0-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.46% Total : 9.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |