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La Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
Almeria

Girona
6 - 2
Almeria

Castellanos (8'), Tsygankov (34'), Riquelme (36'), Hernandez (43'), Martin (77'), Stuani (79')
Garcia (59')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Ramazani (66'), Bilal Toure (81')
Suarez Charris (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Girona and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Girona

All competitions
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Girona
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Girona 2-1 Almeria

 Girona have been strong at home this season, collecting 18 points from 11 matches, and they will be welcoming an Almeria side who have lost seven of their 10 games on their travels. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, but we just have a feeling that Girona will navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 20.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
GironaDrawAlmeria
54.17% (0.425 0.42) 25.19% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.63% (-0.388 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.22% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.48% (-0.252 -0.25)55.52% (0.246 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.3% (-0.204 -0.2)76.7% (0.199 0.2)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.070999999999998 0.07)20.5% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.02% (0.116 0.12)52.98% (-0.121 -0.12)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.14% (-0.554 -0.55)41.86% (0.549 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.69% (-0.484 -0.48)78.31% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Girona 54.16%
    Almeria 20.63%
    Draw 25.19%
GironaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 13.59% (0.16 0.16)
2-0 @ 10.77% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (0.093 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.16%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.58% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.16% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.5% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.12%
Total : 20.63%

How you voted: Girona vs Almeria

Girona
72.0%
Draw
16.9%
Almeria
11.0%
118
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 6pm
Almeria
3-2
Girona
Baptistao (13'), Bilal Toure (17'), Embarba (38')
Riquelme (47'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Herrera (5')
Mar 27, 2022 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Girona

Ely (45+1'), Pozo (51')
Garcia (13')
Lozano (19'), Bueno (49'), Sanchez (78'), Carlos (80'), Garcia (83'), Espinosa (89')
Garcia (90+1')
Oct 4, 2021 8pm
Girona
1-2
Almeria
Espinosa (62')
Espinosa (40'), Baena (75')
Sadiq (52'), Robertone (68')
Sadiq (34'), Centelles (71'), Robertone (87')
Jun 5, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Girona

Fernandes (39'), Bunuel (43'), Robertone (52'), Samu (56')

Kebe (67'), Sylla (89')
Jun 2, 2021 8pm
Girona
3-0
Almeria
Joel Barcenas (3'), Couto (5'), Sylla (65')
Juanpe (52'), Franquesa (54')

Balliu (27'), Ramazani (30'), Makaridze (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417
> La Liga Full Table


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