Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 31.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.27%) and 1-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.52% | 31.15% | 36.33% |
Both teams to score 39.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.39% | 68.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.67% | 86.33% |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.19% | 38.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% | 75.54% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.9% | 36.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.12% | 72.88% |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 13.26% 2-1 @ 6.4% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 2.02% 3-0 @ 1.98% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.56% Total : 32.52% | 0-0 @ 14% 1-1 @ 13.51% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.37% Total : 31.14% | 0-1 @ 14.27% 0-2 @ 7.27% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-3 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.99% Total : 36.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |