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La Liga | Gameweek 16
Jan 8, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Real Betis logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Betis

Camello (20')
Garcia (51'), Trejo (57'), Valentin (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Balliu (7' og.), Henrique (40')
Carvalho (53'), Henrique (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Real Betis

Rayo Vallecano have only lost once at home in the league this season, while Real Betis have won just two of their seven games on their travels, so it is not straightforward to pick an away victory here. The Green and Whites will believe that they have the players to collect all three points, but we have settled on a draw, as Rayo Vallecano will also bring a seven-game unbeaten run in La Liga into the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
41.83% (0.208 0.21) 27.33% (0.025000000000002 0.03) 30.84% (-0.231 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.162 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45% (-0.165 -0.16)56.55% (0.16699999999999 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (-0.133 -0.13)77.53% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.34% (0.036000000000001 0.04)26.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.1% (0.046999999999997 0.05)61.9% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.252 -0.25)33.48% (0.255 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (-0.277 -0.28)70.12% (0.279 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 41.83%
    Real Betis 30.84%
    Draw 27.33%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.8% (0.065 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.44% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.14% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 12.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.93% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.33%
0-1 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.84%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Betis

Rayo Vallecano
37.9%
Draw
33.3%
Real Betis
28.8%
66
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Betis
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Iglesias (90+2')
Jose (79')
Bebe (80')
Balliu (71')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Rayo Vallecano
1-2
Betis
Garcia (5')
Valentin (65')
Iglesias (26'), Carvalho (68')
Silva (78')
Jan 9, 2022 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Betis
Balliu (70')
Garcia (55')
Canales (45+2')
Canales (34'), Guardado (45+6'), Pellegrini (45+8'), Silva (87')
Moreno (33')
Oct 24, 2021 5.30pm
Betis
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Moreno (22'), Juanmi (24'), Jose (75' pen.)
Gonzalez (32')
Nteka (45+1'), Garcia (65')
Garcia (31'), Trejo (61')
Jan 23, 2020 8pm
Round of 32
Rayo Vallecano
2-2
Betis
Rayo Vallecano win 4-2 on penalties
Catena (47'), Martin (117')
Montiel (26'), Trejo (58'), Valentin (58'), Catena (62'), Suarez (107'), Garcia (112')
Joaquin (84'), Moron (97')
Alena (38'), Bartra (63'), Feddal (94'), Tello (113')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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