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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 5, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Almeria

Real Valladolid
1 - 0
Almeria

Weissman (90+3')
Sanchez (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akieme (14'), de la Hoz (41'), Embarba (76'), Fernandes (80'), Samu (90+1'), Milovanovic (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Sevilla
Saturday, August 27 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 1-1 Almeria

There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a tight match on Monday evening. A defeat for either would be damaging for their confidence, even at this stage of the season, but we can see a close match finishing all square. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
45.98% (3.826 3.83) 25.55% (-0.251 -0.25) 28.46% (-3.58 -3.58)
Both teams to score 52.94% (-1.044 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.39% (-0.511 -0.51)50.6% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.48% (-0.453 -0.45)72.51% (0.449 0.45)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (1.593 1.59)21.99% (-1.597 -1.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (2.357 2.36)55.3% (-2.36 -2.36)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.86% (-2.784 -2.78)32.14% (2.78 2.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.38% (-3.283 -3.28)68.62% (3.279 3.28)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 45.98%
    Almeria 28.46%
    Draw 25.55%
Real ValladolidDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 10.7% (0.7 0.7)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.347 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.881 0.88)
3-1 @ 4.65% (0.382 0.38)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.614 0.61)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (0.219 0.22)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.293 0.29)
4-2 @ 1% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.143 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.55%
0-1 @ 8.02% (-0.464 -0.46)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.616 -0.62)
0-2 @ 4.55% (-0.647 -0.65)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.459 -0.46)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.402 -0.4)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 28.46%

How you voted: Real Valladolid vs Almeria

Real Valladolid
43.9%
Draw
31.7%
Almeria
24.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 5.15pm
Real Valladolid
2-2
Almeria
Mesa (23'), Toni (48')
Toni (24'), Mesa (57')
Ramazani (20'), Ely (88')
Akieme (21'), Samu (59'), Eguaras (73'), Puigmal (77'), de la Hoz (90'), Sadiq (90+6')
Nov 20, 2021 7.30pm
Almeria
3-1
Real Valladolid
Ramazani (52'), Akieme (70'), Portillo (86')
Samu (45+2'), de la Hoz (77'), Babic (90+2')
Ramos (8' og.)
Perez (30'), Leon (42')
Plano (37')
Mar 18, 2018 11am
Real Valladolid
2-1
Almeria
Plano (60'), Mata (86')
Martinez (88'), Gianniotas (90')
Marreh (3')
Rodriguez (54'), Marreh (90')
Oct 15, 2017 5pm
Almeria
1-1
Real Valladolid
Verza (2')
Munoz (78')
Fidel (90')
Mata (36' pen.)
Fernandez (81'), Villa (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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