Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
31% | 27.17% | 41.83% |
Both teams to score 49.32% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.1% | 55.9% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% | 77.01% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.97% | 33.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.38% | 69.62% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% | 26.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% | 61.51% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.65% 2-1 @ 7.12% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-0 @ 1.97% 3-2 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.53% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.71% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 11.6% 1-2 @ 8.57% 0-2 @ 7.74% 1-3 @ 3.81% 0-3 @ 3.44% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.13% Total : 41.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 74 | 43 | 31 | 79 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 57 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 36 | 14 | 14 | 8 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 10 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 38 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 35 | 72 | -37 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |