La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 20, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
We said: Valencia 2-1 Real Betis
Real Betis have dropped points in 12 of their 15 away league games this season, while Valencia have posted eight wins at Mestalla in Spain's top flight in 2023-24. Los Che are in strong form, and we are expecting the six-time Spanish champions to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.45% . A win for Real Betis had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.2% .
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.27%) . The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (10.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood .
Result Valencia Draw Real Betis 42.45% ( 0.3) 28.16% ( 0.11) 29.39% ( -0.41)
Both teams to score 45.83% ( -0.49)
40.01% ( -0.53) 59.99% ( 0.53)
19.77% ( -0.41) 80.23% ( 0.41)
72.06% ( -0.09) 27.94% ( 0.09)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.43% ( -0.12) 63.57% ( 0.12)
63.6% ( -0.6) 36.4% ( 0.61)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 26.81% ( -0.62) 73.19% ( 0.62)
Valencia 42.44%
Real Betis 29.38%
Draw 28.15%
Valencia Draw Real Betis 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 42.44% 1-1 @ 13.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.15% 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 29.38%
How you voted: Valencia vs Betis
63
rhs 2.0
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