Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.04% | 25.51% | 48.45% |
Both teams to score 51.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% | 51.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% | 73.69% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.24% | 34.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.5% | 71.5% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% | 21.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% | 54.47% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.04% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
R | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |