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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Bolton
1 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Charles (90+4')
Thomason (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (2')
Clarke (67'), Gibson (88'), Finley (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 3-2 Barrow
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Bristol Rovers

Despite their contrasting league positions, Bristol Rovers have matched Bolton for points over the last three contests. With that in mind, we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils, bouncing back from the disappointment of their FA Cup exit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (4.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
67.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 18.94% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 13.73% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.73% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)40.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)63.36% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.77% (0.0020000000000095 0)11.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)35.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.27% (-0.012 -0.01)41.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.8% (-0.012 -0.01)78.2% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 67.32%
    Bristol Rovers 13.73%
    Draw 18.94%
Bolton WanderersDrawBristol Rovers
2-0 @ 11.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.24%
2-1 @ 9.79%
3-0 @ 8.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 7.14%
4-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.95%
5-1 @ 1.71%
4-2 @ 1.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 67.32%
1-1 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 18.94%
0-1 @ 4.1%
1-2 @ 3.91% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.79% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Bolton vs Bristol Rovers

Bolton Wanderers
52.0%
Draw
24.0%
Bristol Rovers
24.0%
25
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Feb 28, 2017 8pm
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Vela (7')
Vela (45'), Long (65'), Osede (79')
Long (90')
Bodin (75')
Aug 17, 2016 7.45pm
Bristol Rovers
1-2
Bolton
Harrison (57')
Vela (6'), Spearing (26')
Trotter (56'), Spearing (72'), Madine (75'), Wilkinson (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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