Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.