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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 19, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Whaddon Road
Morecambe

Cheltenham
3 - 1
Morecambe

Sercombe (26'), Joseph (65', 68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Phillips (38')
O'Connor (52'), Gnahoua (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
38.03%26.56%35.41%
Both teams to score 52.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39%52.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.73%74.26%
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.08%26.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.76%62.24%
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.54%28.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.78%64.21%
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 38.03%
    Morecambe 35.41%
    Draw 26.56%
Cheltenham TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 6.6%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.63%
1-2 @ 7.94%
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 3.33%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 35.41%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Morecambe

Cheltenham Town
18.2%
Draw
31.8%
Morecambe
50.0%
22
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 1
Cheltenham
1-2
Morecambe
May (28')
Phillips (78' pen.), Mendes Gomes (90+2')
Davis (40')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 31
Cheltenham
2-1
Morecambe
Thomas (32' pen.), May (35')
Raglan (44'), Varney (64'), Broom (92'), Doyle-Hayes (96')
Leitch-Smith (84')
Kenyon (71'), Wildig (87'), Stockton (98')
Aug 17, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 3
Morecambe
0-0
Cheltenham
Roche (79')
Long (58')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 44
Morecambe
4-0
Cheltenham
Oliver (49'), Ellison (53'), Lavelle (81'), Collins (85')

Thomas (75'), Bingham (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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