Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 45.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 27.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.