Home > Football > League One
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
19 | Accrington Stanley | 7 | -2 | 7 |
20 | Lincoln City | 7 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Forest Green Rovers | 7 | -9 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Bolton Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 11 |
9 | Derby County | 7 | 1 | 11 |
10 | Barnsley | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 30.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
30.22% ( 0.66) | 26.92% ( 0.22) | 42.86% ( -0.87) |
Both teams to score 49.74% ( -0.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.79% ( -0.58) | 55.21% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.56% ( -0.48) | 76.44% ( 0.48) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% ( 0.19) | 33.23% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% ( 0.2) | 69.84% ( -0.2) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.5% ( -0.7) | 25.5% ( 0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.65% ( -0.96) | 60.35% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Lincoln City | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.22% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |