Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterborough United in this match.
