Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.