Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.