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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Peterborough United |
41.53% ( 1.19) | 24.28% ( 0.45) | 34.19% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 59.95% ( -2.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.36% ( -2.51) | 42.64% ( 2.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.96% ( -2.55) | 65.04% ( 2.54) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.32% ( -0.52) | 20.67% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.73% ( -0.83) | 53.26% ( 0.83) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.57% ( -2.06) | 24.43% ( 2.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.14% ( -3) | 58.86% ( 2.99) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Peterborough United |
2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.74) 2-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.49) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.82% Total : 41.53% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.54) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.31) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |