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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
40.63% ( 0.26) | 24.41% ( -0) | 34.96% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 59.62% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.86% ( -0.04) | 43.14% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.46% ( -0.04) | 65.53% ( 0.04) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.69% ( 0.1) | 21.31% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.74% ( 0.16) | 54.25% ( -0.16) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.77% ( -0.16) | 24.23% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.43% ( -0.23) | 58.57% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 11.31% 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |