Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.18% ( -0.23) | 25.35% ( 0.15) | 39.47% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.35% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( -0.73) | 47.4% ( 0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( -0.68) | 69.61% ( 0.67) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.91% ( -0.47) | 26.09% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.64) | 61.15% ( 0.64) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.25% ( -0.29) | 23.75% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.11% ( -0.41) | 57.89% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 35.18% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |