Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 39.81%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.