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Gillingham
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Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
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Northampton Town
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Sixfields
Swindon Town

Northampton
1 - 2
Swindon

Hoskins (90')
Bowie (82'), Hoskins (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shade (26'), Lavinier (56')
Iandolo (45+2'), Shade (80'), Hepburn-Murphy (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Northampton Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-2 Walsall
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Northampton Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Northampton Town and Swindon have enjoyed a solid first half of the season and will be looking to close out the year on a high. However, the Cobblers head into the midweek match as the more in-form side and we are backing them to maintain their impressive run by claiming a slender victory in front of their home fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
39.55% (-0.389 -0.39) 27.23% (0.101 0.1) 33.22% (0.29 0.29)
Both teams to score 49.83% (-0.236 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.334 -0.33)55.57% (0.334 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.271 -0.27)76.74% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55% (-0.375 -0.38)27.45% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.06% (-0.486 -0.49)62.94% (0.485 0.48)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.68% (0.027000000000001 0.03)31.32% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.32% (0.030999999999999 0.03)67.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 39.54%
    Swindon Town 33.22%
    Draw 27.23%
Northampton TownDrawSwindon Town
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 39.54%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.6% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.23%
0-1 @ 9.98% (0.135 0.14)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.79% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.9% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Northampton vs Swindon

Northampton Town
72.7%
Draw
9.1%
Swindon Town
18.2%
11
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Swindon
5-2
Northampton
McKirdy (28', 51', 55', 66'), Simpson (60')
Hunt (49'), Kesler (88')
Hoskins (37'), Guthrie (50')
McWilliams (18'), Sowerby (34'), Koiki (62')
Sep 18, 2021 2pm
Northampton
1-1
Swindon
Horsfall (83')
Rose (43'), Sowerby (44'), Hoskins (68'), McWilliams (84')
Simpson (57')
Conroy (52')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Swindon
2-1
Northampton
Twine (45+2'), Pitman (69')
Palmer (51'), Grounds (67')
Watson (26')
Mills (64'), Morris (75')
Oct 20, 2020 7.45pm
Northampton
2-1
Swindon
Missilou (7'), Rose (28')
Bolger (51'), Missilou (62'), Hoskins (86'), Smith (90+1')
Smith (76' pen.)
Jaiyesimi (65'), Grounds (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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