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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 45.09%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
45.09% ( -0.88) | 28.01% ( 0.1) | 26.88% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 44.8% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.42% ( 0.08) | 60.58% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.32% ( 0.06) | 80.67% ( -0.06) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.17% ( -0.41) | 26.82% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.87% ( -0.55) | 62.12% ( 0.54) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.22% ( 0.72) | 38.77% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.49% ( 0.68) | 75.5% ( -0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 13.68% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.09% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.53% Total : 26.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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