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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
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Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
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Forest Green Rovers
Gillingham
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Harrogate Town
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Newport County
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Sutton United
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Wrexham AFC
Wrexham AFC
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Poolfoot Farm
Sutton United

Wrexham
2 - 1
Sutton

Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
O'Brien (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Wrexham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Wrexham 4-1 Sutton United

While showing some inconsistent form, Wrexham have been free-scoring at home, something that has remained constant from last season's success. Sutton are really struggling, and it would be a major turn-up if they were to take anything from this one against one of the favourites for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 67.68%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 14.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.9%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
WrexhamDrawSutton United
67.68% (0.96000000000001 0.96) 17.68% (-0.264 -0.26) 14.64% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 59.1% (-0.833 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.3% (-0.235 -0.23)32.7% (0.239 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.63% (-0.27200000000001 -0.27)54.37% (0.276 0.28)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.12% (0.15599999999999 0.16)8.88% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.62% (0.36999999999999 0.37)30.39% (-0.364 -0.36)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86% (-1.024 -1.02)35.14% (1.029 1.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-1.086 -1.09)71.89% (1.091 1.09)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 67.68%
    Sutton United 14.64%
    Draw 17.68%
WrexhamDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 7.72% (0.046 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.148 0.15)
3-0 @ 7.38% (0.246 0.25)
4-1 @ 4.67% (0.06 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.47% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.04% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.101 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.18% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.91% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 67.68%
1-1 @ 7.9% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.04 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.68%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.26% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.71% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 14.64%

How you voted: Wrexham vs Sutton

Wrexham
100%
Draw
0.0%
Sutton United
0.0%
28
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 54
Wrexham
1-0
Sutton
Kennedy (78')
Young (71')

Eastmond (10')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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