Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
44.52% ( 0.25) | 26.25% ( 0.01) | 29.23% ( -0.27) |
Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.97% ( -0.16) | 53.03% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.38% ( -0.14) | 74.62% ( 0.14) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% ( 0.05) | 23.71% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.16% ( 0.07) | 57.84% ( -0.07) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( -0.28) | 32.83% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.6% ( -0.32) | 69.4% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.51% | 1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 29.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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