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Serie A
Milan logo
Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Atalanta logo

AC Milan
2 - 0
Atalanta

Musso (25' og.), Messias (86')
Leao (28'), Thiaw (65'), Krunic (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Toloi (27'), Gasperini (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Monza 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, February 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Atalanta BC

 Atalanta are often more dangerous away from home, especially in big matches due to their proficiency in transition, but they appear to have lost form at a crucial time in the season. Milan, on the other hand, have rediscovered the winning grit that saw them reclaim Serie A's title last season, and we can envisage them edging a tight victory on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
44.64% (-0.354 -0.35) 26.6% (-0.080000000000002 -0.08) 28.76% (0.433 0.43)
Both teams to score 49.93% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (0.51199999999999 0.51)54.59% (-0.514 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (0.425 0.43)75.93% (-0.42700000000001 -0.43)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66% (0.051999999999992 0.05)24.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.074000000000005 0.07)58.73% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.60899999999999 0.61)34% (-0.611 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.651 0.65)70.68% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 44.64%
    Atalanta BC 28.76%
    Draw 26.59%
AC MilanDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 8.26% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.48% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.45% (0.075 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.051 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.73% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.76%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Atalanta

AC Milan
70.2%
Draw
17.4%
Atalanta BC
12.4%
161
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
1-1
AC Milan
Malinovskyi (29')
Toloi (16'), Hateboer (48'), Djimsiti (78'), de Roon (90+6')
Bennacer (68')
Pioli (23'), Rebic (45+1'), Tonali (75'), Hernandez (78')
May 15, 2022 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Atalanta
Leao (56'), Hernandez (75')
Giroud (44'), Kessie (67'), Bennacer (90+2')

Koopmeiners (53'), Malinovskyi (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-3
AC Milan
Zapata (86' pen.), Pasalic (90+4')
de Roon (40')
Calabria (1'), Tonali (43'), Leao (78')
Diaz (42'), Tomori (52'), Messias (85'), Leao (88'), Pioli (90+4')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
0-2
AC Milan

Freuler (47'), de Roon (69'), Toloi (86')
de Roon (90+1')
Kessie (43' pen., 90+2')
Mandzukic (82'), Krunic (90+1'), Dalot (90+2')
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
0-3
Atalanta

Hernandez (38'), Kessie (51')
Romero (26'), Ilicic (53' pen.), Zapata (77')
Gosens (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816
> Serie A Full Table


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