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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Augsburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Hoffenheim

Augsburg were extremely fortunate to gain a point away to Koln - who sit bottom of the table ahead of this weekend's action - last time out, but they will not be able to get away with conceding as many chances against Hoffenheim. The visitors can score goals relatively freely with Kramaric and Weghorst in attack, and we expect them to continue their recent trend by following up a defeat with a victory as they look to gain ground on the Champions League places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
40.5% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 23.43% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 36.06% (0.164 0.16)
Both teams to score 63.49% (0.371 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.82% (0.472 0.47)38.18% (-0.472 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.54% (0.5 0.5)60.45% (-0.5 -0.5)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.167 0.17)19.26% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.274 0.27)50.98% (-0.273 -0.27)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (0.29600000000001 0.3)21.36% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (0.457 0.46)54.33% (-0.457 -0.46)
Score Analysis
    Augsburg 40.5%
    Hoffenheim 36.06%
    Draw 23.42%
AugsburgDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.78% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.95% (0.014 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 40.5%
1-1 @ 10.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.88% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 8.07% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.15% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.42% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.52% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.6% (0.03 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.32% (0.031 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 36.06%

How you voted: Augsburg vs Hoffenheim

Augsburg
23.7%
Draw
15.8%
Hoffenheim
60.5%
38
Head to Head
Feb 17, 2023 7.30pm
Aug 27, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Hoffenheim
1-0
Augsburg
Geiger (39')
Promel (72')

Bauer (59')
Jan 8, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hoffenheim
3-1
Augsburg
Bebou (38', 44'), Raum (90+3')
Baumgartner (75')
Aug 14, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Hoffenheim

Gouweleeuw (89')
Bruun Larsen (37'), Adamyan (79'), Rutter (87'), Rudy (90+5')
Raum (19'), Rudy (62')
Apr 3, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Augsburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Vargas (8'), Hahn (23')
Hahn (90+1')
Skov (86')
Samassekou (37')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen32266082235984
2Bayern MunichBayern32223790414969
3Stuttgart32214773393467
4RB Leipzig32196774363863
5Borussia DortmundDortmund32179664402460
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt32111294847145
7Freiburg32118134355-1241
8Hoffenheim32117145664-840
9Augsburg32109134957-839
10Heidenheim32911124553-838
11Werder Bremen32108144352-938
12Wolfsburg32107154051-1137
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach32712135562-733
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum32712134165-2433
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3286182954-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz32514133350-1729
17FC Koln32412162454-3024
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3238213076-4617


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