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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
37.64% | 24.61% | 37.75% |
Both teams to score 59.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.18% | 43.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.8% | 66.2% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.91% | 23.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.06% | 56.94% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.97% | 23.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.15% | 56.85% |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.39% 1-0 @ 7.8% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.1% 3-2 @ 3.01% 3-0 @ 2.79% 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.64% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 2-2 @ 6.16% 0-0 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-1 @ 7.81% 0-2 @ 5.73% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.81% 1-4 @ 1.51% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.23% Total : 37.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 32 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 73 | 39 | 34 | 67 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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