Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.27%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Luton Town |
45.27% ( 0.1) | 25.59% ( 0) | 29.14% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 53.24% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.59% ( -0.07) | 50.41% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.65% ( -0.07) | 72.34% ( 0.07) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.76% ( 0.02) | 22.24% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.33% ( 0.02) | 55.67% ( -0.02) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0.11) | 31.54% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.07% ( -0.13) | 67.93% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.27% | 1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 7.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 29.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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