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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Luton Town

Everton
1 - 2
Luton

FT(HT: 1-2)
Lockyer (24'), Morris (31')
Kabore (66')

The Match

Match Report

Luton Town record their first-ever Premier League victory with a 2-1 triumph over Everton at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-2 Everton
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EvertonDrawLuton Town
37.13% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 27.91% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01) 34.96% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.02% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.04% (0.035999999999994 0.04)57.96% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.35% (0.028000000000002 0.03)78.66% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.039999999999992 0.04)30.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.048999999999999 0.05)66.14% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (0.0020000000000095 0)31.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)67.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Score Analysis
    Everton 37.12%
    Luton Town 34.95%
    Draw 27.91%
EvertonDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.17% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 37.12%
1-1 @ 13.13% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%

How you voted: Everton vs Luton

Everton
76.1%
Draw
12.8%
Luton Town
11.0%
109
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Manchester CityMan City33237380324876
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
11Bournemouth34129134960-1145
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton331111115254-244
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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