Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
37.13% ( 0.04) | 27.91% ( -0.01) | 34.96% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.02% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.04% ( 0.04) | 57.96% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.35% ( 0.03) | 78.66% ( -0.03) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.98% ( 0.04) | 30.02% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.86% ( 0.05) | 66.14% ( -0.05) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.62% ( 0) | 31.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( 0) | 67.75% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Luton Town |
1-0 @ 11.33% 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 37.12% | 1-1 @ 13.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
11 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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