Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Roma had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
45.46% ( 0.25) | 26.07% ( 0.05) | 28.46% ( -0.3) |
Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.29% ( -0.35) | 52.7% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.65% ( -0.31) | 74.34% ( 0.3) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.87% ( -0.04) | 23.12% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.01% ( -0.05) | 56.98% ( 0.05) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.76% ( -0.41) | 33.23% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.15% ( -0.46) | 69.84% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.45% Total : 28.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Torino | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 11 |
2 | Udinese | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 10 |
3 | Napoli | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 9 |
5 | Inter Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 8 |
6 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 8 |
7 | Lazio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
10 | AC Milan | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 5 |
11 | Genoa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
12 | Parma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Lecce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 4 |
14 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 3 |
15 | Monza | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
16 | Roma | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 3 |
17 | Bologna | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 3 |
18 | Como | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2 |
19 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 1 |
> Serie A Full Table |