Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
25.11% ( -0.37) | 25.36% ( -0.2) | 49.52% ( 0.56) |
Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( 0.51) | 52.05% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( 0.44) | 73.78% ( -0.44) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.39% ( -0.03) | 35.6% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.62% ( -0.03) | 72.37% ( 0.03) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( 0.45) | 21.04% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( 0.7) | 53.83% ( -0.7) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.73% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.97% Total : 25.11% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.96% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 9.1% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.48% Total : 49.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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