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Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.45am UK
Banc of California Stadium
LA Galaxy

Los Angeles
2 - 1
LA Galaxy

Tillman (4'), Bouanga (35' pen.)
Tillman (21'), Cherundolo (22'), Murillo (44'), Hollingshead (61'), Palencia (75')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aude (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colorado 3-2 Los Angeles
Saturday, March 30 at 8pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 3-2 Los Angeles Galaxy

As inconsistent as LAFC have been throughout the year, it is always easy for them to bring up their intensity when playing their biggest rivals. For as much as the Galaxy have improved this season, they are still unstable on the back end, and we believe that could prove costly on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.42%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Los Angeles Galaxy win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
59.41% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 20.47% (-0.055 -0.05) 20.12% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 60.59% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.89% (0.198 0.2)36.11% (-0.19900000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.79% (0.217 0.22)58.21% (-0.216 -0.22)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.09% (0.089999999999989 0.09)11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.75% (0.188 0.19)37.25% (-0.187 -0.19)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (0.076000000000008 0.08)31.22% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (0.087000000000003 0.09)67.56% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 59.41%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 20.12%
    Draw 20.47%
Los Angeles FCDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.95% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.7% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.35% (0.011 0.01)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 9.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.7% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.52% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 20.12%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs LA Galaxy

Los Angeles FC
54.5%
Draw
9.1%
Los Angeles Galaxy
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
4-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (24', 75'), Hollingshead (33'), Tillman (84')
Sanchez (7'), Palacios (13'), Hollingshead (66'), Acosta (90')
Sharp (25'), Yoshida (59')
Cuevas (43')
Jul 5, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
2-1
Los Angeles
Boyd (26'), Puig (73')
Edwards (34'), Costa (54'), Aude (72')
Sanchez (57')
Tillman (19'), Maldonado (70'), Duenas (82')
May 24, 2023
3.30am
Apr 16, 2023 9.30pm
Oct 21, 2022 3am
Conference Semi-Finals
Los Angeles
3-2
LA Galaxy
Bouanga (23', 80'), Arango (90+3')
Grandsir (44'), Joveljic (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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