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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Stanford Stadium
LA Galaxy

Earthquakes
1 - 3
LA Galaxy

Judd (69')
Akapo (35'), Judd (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Paintsil (18'), Joveljic (43'), Puig (48')
Delgado (29'), Brugman (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 1-1 Inter Miami
Monday, February 26 at 2am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 2-3 Los Angeles Galaxy

LA Galaxy almost secured victory over Inter Miami last time out and this could serve as a springboard for their confidence this season. The visitors also have a good record in their recent visits to San Jose. We think there will be goals galore in the Cali Clasico but Galaxy should edge it in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
47.5% (-0.534 -0.53) 23.85% (0.058999999999997 0.06) 28.65% (0.474 0.47)
Both teams to score 58.73% (0.153 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.94% (0.046999999999997 0.05)43.06% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)65.46% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (-0.191 -0.19)18.3% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (-0.328 -0.33)49.38% (0.33 0.33)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (0.35599999999999 0.36)28.12% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (0.449 0.45)63.79% (-0.447 -0.45)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.5%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 28.65%
    Draw 23.84%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.74% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
2-0 @ 7.42% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-0 @ 4.2% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.78% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.53%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 7.03% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.052 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.073 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.98% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.039 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.048 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 28.65%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs LA Galaxy

San Jose Earthquakes
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-3
LA Galaxy
Calegari (29' og.), Ebobisse (31')
Rodrigues (19'), Akapo (43'), Trauco (65'), Gruezo (75'), Marie (90+2')
Boyd (16'), Puig (50'), Joveljic (61' pen.)
Cerrillo (83'), Aude (90+9')
Jul 2, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-2
LA Galaxy
Skahan (42'), Espinoza (81')
Espinoza (20'), Tsakiris (57'), Yueill (90+4')
Edwards (31'), Judd (47')
Edwards (39'), Calegari (78'), Aude (90+7')
May 15, 2023 2.30am
Jul 14, 2022 3am
LA Galaxy
2-3
Earthquakes
Joveljic (48', 88')
Grandsir (33')
Espinoza (13' pen.), Ebobisse (14'), Lopez (40')
Lopez (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy105322117418
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Austin FCAustin104331413115
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
7Houston DynamoHouston841398113
8Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
9St Louis City92611514112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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