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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
43.18% ( -0.43) | 24.89% ( 0.23) | 31.93% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 56.98% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.82% ( -0.98) | 46.18% ( 0.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.53% ( -0.93) | 68.47% ( 0.93) |
Luton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.58% ( -0.61) | 21.41% ( 0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.58% ( -0.94) | 54.42% ( 0.94) |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.51% ( -0.36) | 27.49% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.01% ( -0.46) | 62.99% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Luton Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.54% Total : 43.18% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
P | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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