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Ligue 1
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Lens logo

Lyon
0 - 3
Lens


Maitland-Niles (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sotoca (43'), Wahi (53' pen.), Danso (87')
Gradit (29'), Danso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-3 Monaco
Sunday, February 25 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lyon 1-1 Lens

 Bumps and bruises from the Coupe de France will come into play for Lyon on Sunday, where leading marksman Lacazette is unlikely to be 100%, but in their current form, Les Gones are not to be counted out against any foe. A full week of recuperation was just what the doctor prescribed for a jaded Lens side, though, and with Haise's men stringing together an exceptional streak of defensive displays on the road, a low-scoring draw may be in the offing. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LyonDrawLens
36.02% (-1.267 -1.27) 25.87% (0.219 0.22) 38.11% (1.051 1.05)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.797 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.36% (-0.999 -1)49.64% (1.001 1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.34% (-0.901 -0.9)71.66% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (-1.185 -1.19)26.67% (1.187 1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (-1.595 -1.6)61.91% (1.596 1.6)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (0.11999999999999 0.12)25.49% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (0.165 0.16)60.33% (-0.162 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 36.02%
    Lens 38.11%
    Draw 25.87%
LyonDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.98% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.211 -0.21)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.113 -0.11)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.02%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.272 0.27)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.403 0.4)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.115 0.12)
0-2 @ 6.35% (0.296 0.3)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.144 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.11%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon
58.9%
Draw
26.7%
Lens
14.4%
90
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 14
Lens
3-2
Lyon
Said (26'), Frankowski (52' pen., 74')
Machado (35'), Medina (41')
Sotoca (90')
O'Brien (15', 72')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Machado (39')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Lens
1-0
Lyon
Sotoca (82' pen.)
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 12
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Lorient3478194366-2329
17Metz3485213558-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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