Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
36.02% ( -1.27) | 25.87% ( 0.22) | 38.11% ( 1.05) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% ( -1) | 49.64% ( 1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% ( -0.9) | 71.66% ( 0.9) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( -1.19) | 26.67% ( 1.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( -1.6) | 61.91% ( 1.6) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( 0.12) | 25.49% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% ( 0.16) | 60.33% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 32 | 15 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Lyon | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 47 |
8 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
9 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |