Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 50.24%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Portland Timbers |
50.24% ( 0.07) | 24.64% ( -0.07) | 25.12% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 53.08% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.89% ( 0.28) | 49.11% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.82% ( 0.25) | 71.18% ( -0.24) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.44% ( 0.14) | 19.56% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% ( 0.22) | 51.48% ( -0.22) |
Portland Timbers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66% ( 0.15) | 34% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.32% ( 0.16) | 70.68% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Portland Timbers |
1-0 @ 10.85% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.95% Total : 50.24% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 25.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |