Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Providence Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 17.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.