MX23RW : Monday, May 20 08:39:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Goffertstadion
AZ Alkmaar

Nijmegen
0 - 3
AZ


Kramer (22'), Schone (42')
Proper (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Karlsson (28', 50'), Clasie (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Last Game: FC Twente 4-0 Nijmegen
Friday, May 12 at 7pm in Eredivisie

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 0-1 West Ham
Thursday, May 18 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: NEC 0-3 AZ Alkmaar

 AZ Alkmaar are no longer in the Europa Conference League, meaning they will be fully focussed on trying to reach the Europa League via their final position in the Eredivisie, and we expect them to get the job done on Sunday. NEC have totally fallen apart at completely the wrong stage of the season, and they have been very poor at home for quite some time, meaning it would not be a surprise if the visitors win by a comfortable margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for NEC had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
NECDrawAZ Alkmaar
35.12% (0.598 0.6) 25.07% (0.164 0.16) 39.8% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 57.31% (-0.471 -0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.657 -0.66)46.16% (0.649 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.625 -0.63)68.45% (0.616 0.62)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.033000000000001 0.03)25.55% (-0.041 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.049999999999997 0.05)60.41% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.672 -0.67)23.03% (0.664 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.16% (-0.992 -0.99)56.84% (0.984 0.98)
Score Analysis
    NEC 35.12%
    AZ Alkmaar 39.8%
    Draw 25.06%
NECDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.228 0.23)
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.162 0.16)
3-1 @ 3.66% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (0.077 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 35.12%
1-1 @ 11.78% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.16 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.06%
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.06% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 39.8%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs AZ

NEC
18.2%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
81.8%
11
Head to Head
Sep 1, 2022 7pm
gameweek 3
AZ
1-1
Nijmegen
Odgaard (57')
de Wit (31')
Marquez (54')
Mar 6, 2022 3.45pm
gameweek 23
Nijmegen
1-3
AZ
Guth (44')
Karlsson (8', 70'), Evjen (76')
Vindahl Jensen (42')
Nov 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 11
AZ
1-1
Nijmegen
Aboukhlal (90+2')
Martins Indi (85')
Bruijn (9')
May 7, 2017 1.30pm
Nijmegen
2-1
AZ
Von Haacke (30'), Awoniyi (89')
Danjuma (63'), Awoniyi (89')
Jahanbakhsh (43')
Wuytens (50'), Jahanbakhsh (82')
Haps (60')
Aug 28, 2016 3.45pm
AZ
2-0
Nijmegen
Dos Santos (44'), Jahanbakhsh (73')
dos Santos (52')

von Haacke (33')
von Haacke (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342941111219091
2Feyenoord34266292266684
3FC Twente34216769363369
4AZ AlkmaarAZ34198770393165
5Ajax341511874611356
6NECNijmegen341411968511753
7FC UtrechtUtrecht341311104947250
8Sparta RotterdamSparta34147135148349
9Go Ahead Eagles341210124746146
10Fortuna SittardSittard34911143756-1938
11Heerenveen34107175370-1737
12PEC Zwolle3499164567-2236
13Almere CityAlmere City34713143359-2634
14Heracles3496194174-3333
15RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3478193856-1829
16SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior34611175073-2329
RFC VolendamVolendam3447233488-5419
RVitesse3466223074-446
> Eredivisie Full Table


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