MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 23:25:01| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 22
Jan 13, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
0 - 1
Connah's Quay


MacDonald (7'), Richards (54'), Harling (70'), Davies (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Wilde (87')
Edwards (12'), Franklin (56'), Poole (90+1'), Stratulis (90+4')
Poole (90+5')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 1-0 Pontypridd
Sunday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Connah's Quay 0-4 New Saints
Sunday, December 31 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 55.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-0 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Connah's Quay Nomads in this match.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
21.57% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 22.69% (-0.035 -0.04) 55.73% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Both teams to score 55.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.61% (0.083999999999996 0.08)44.38% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.24% (0.081000000000003 0.08)66.76% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.71% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)71.29% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.23% (0.060999999999993 0.06)15.77% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.1% (0.112 0.11)44.9% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 21.57%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 55.73%
    Draw 22.68%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 5.79% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-1 @ 5.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.01% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.86%
3-0 @ 1.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 21.57%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.68%
0-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 9.3% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.08% (0.015 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.73% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.81% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.64% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-5 @ 0.98% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 55.73%

Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 5.15pm
Gameweek 10
Connah's Quay
4-2
Pen-y-Bont
Davies (11', 58'), Kenny (24'), Harrington (90')
Davies (36'), Kenny (65'), Disney (90+4')
Venables (70' pen.), Jefferies (81')
Little (22'), Evans (65'), Kircough (68'), Owen (90+1')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Pen-y-Bont
1-1
Connah's Quay
Owen (81' pen.)
Nash (65')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 12
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont149412471731
2The New SaintsNew Saints1290335122327
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest147521551026
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU147342016424
5Barry Town UnitedBarry146442122-122
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon146352119221
7Bala TownBala Town144731915419
8Newtown AFCNewtown145362030-1018
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay144461715216
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town143291627-1111
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1421111134-237
12Briton Ferry121291128-175


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