MX23RW : Saturday, May 18 00:14:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 4
Mar 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
The KYMCO Stadium

Pen-y-Bont
1 - 1
Connah's Quay

Owen (81' pen.)
Evans (55'), Owen (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nash (65')
Wilde (42'), Kenny (55'), Stratulis (72'), Stratulis (73'), Morris (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Pen-y-Bont and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pen-y-Bont

All competitions
Last Game: New Saints 1-1 Pen-y-Bont
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Connah's Quay Nomads

All competitions
Last Game: Connah's Quay 2-1 Cardiff MU
Saturday, February 25 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Pen-y-Bont win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
25.91% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07) 48.71% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.52% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.48% (0.287 0.29)51.52% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.68% (0.25 0.25)73.32% (-0.247 -0.25)
Pen-y-Bont Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.36% (0.14700000000001 0.15)34.64% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (0.154 0.15)71.37% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.83% (0.15599999999999 0.16)21.17% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.97% (0.24 0.24)54.03% (-0.237 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Pen-y-Bont 25.91%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 48.71%
    Draw 25.38%
Pen-y-BontDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.4% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 25.91%
1-1 @ 12.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.084000000000001 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 11.38% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.84% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.85% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 4.58% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.021 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.013 0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 48.71%

Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-1
Connah's Quay
Hayes (73')
Nash (10')
Sep 3, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
Pen-y-Bont
Horan (38'), Hayes (75')
Mendes (74'), Harrington (88'), Franklin (89'), Holmes (90+3')

Wood (81')
Apr 15, 2022 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
Pen-y-Bont
Georgievsky (90' og.)
Gosset (20'), Donohue (20'), Edwards (90+3')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Pen-y-Bont
0-3
Connah's Quay

MacDonald (21'), (51'), Reynolds (86'), D. Wood (90+1')
Thomas (15'), Hayes (37', 85')
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
Connah's Quay
0-0
Pen-y-Bont

Curran (31'), Morris (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Round
1The New SaintsNew Saints101000117189992
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay1033470432759
3Bala TownBala Town103523831751
4Newtown AFCNewtown103254946344
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon102445270-1841
6Cardiff MUCardiff MU1012763102-3936
Relegation Round
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont106314637943
2Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest104333940-143
3Barry Town UnitedBarry101633654-1832
4Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth103342757-3027
5Colwyn Bay103253466-3225
6Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd103343672-3622
 
Regular Season
1The New SaintsNew Saints22202077146362
2Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay22152559293047
3Bala TownBala Town2210752520537
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU229762839-1134
5Newtown AFCNewtown2210393531433
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon229494041-131
7Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest227782933-428
8Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont2284102832-425
9Barry Town UnitedBarry2265112741-1423
10Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth2243151846-2815
11Colwyn Bay2242162749-2214
12Pontypridd Town AFCPontypridd2254131331-1813
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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