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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer
Jul 16, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
2 - 1
NY City

Andres Martinez (23'), Donovan (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jasson (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 0-2 Philadelphia
Thursday, July 13 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

All competitions
Last Game: Columbus Crew 1-1 NY City
Sunday, July 9 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 2-1 New York City FC

 While the Union have been rather inconsistent since the beginning of June, we believe they will sort things out and find their form like we have seen them do many times in the past. Bakrar should help New York in front of the goal when he arrives, but they will need more than one new face to turn around their road woes this season.

How to watch

You can watch Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for New York City FC had a probability of 13.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a New York City FC win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Philadelphia Union.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
66.29% (0.557 0.56) 20.5% (-0.278 -0.28) 13.21% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 45.18% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.528 0.53)48.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.475 0.48)71.03% (-0.479 -0.48)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.09% (0.337 0.34)13.91% (-0.339 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.66% (0.662 0.66)41.34% (-0.665 -0.66)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.48% (-0.116 -0.12)47.51% (0.11499999999999 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.12% (-0.09 -0.09)82.87% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 66.27%
    New York City FC 13.21%
    Draw 20.5%
Philadelphia UnionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 13.03% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
3-0 @ 8.46% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.075 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.17% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 3.1% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.02 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 66.27%
1-1 @ 9.7% (-0.123 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.145 -0.15)
2-2 @ 3.56% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 20.5%
0-1 @ 4.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 3.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 13.21%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs NY City

Philadelphia Union
92.9%
Draw
7.1%
New York City FC
0.0%
14
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 12.30am
NY City
1-3
Philadelphia
Pereira (30')
Gray (38'), Martins (49'), O'Toole (61')
Carranza (45+1', 45+3'), Gazdag (53' pen.)
Glesnes (29'), Uhre (69'), Bueno (83')
> Preview
Oct 31, 2022 12am
Philadelphia
3-1
NY City
Carranza (65'), Gazdag (67'), Burke (76')
> Preview
Jun 26, 2022 11pm
Philadelphia
2-1
NY City
Uhre (9'), Burke (90+6')
Carranza (81')
Castellanos (88' pen.)
Rodriguez (13'), Callens (80'), Castellanos (81'), Moralez (88')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 5pm
NY City
0-2
Philadelphia

Jasson (11'), Rodriguez (52'), Castellanos (73'), Magno (85')
Bedoya (12'), Gazdag (33')
Carranza (14'), Gazdag (67'), Wagner (73'), Burke (74')
> Preview
Dec 5, 2021 8pm
Philadelphia
1-2
NY City
Callens (63' og.)
Monteiro (71'), Mbaizo (75')
Moralez (65'), Magno (88')
Moralez (41')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
4New York City FCNY City158251916326
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111
> Full Version


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