Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
42.58% ( -1.28) | 26.34% ( -0.19) | 31.08% ( 1.47) |
Both teams to score 51.88% ( 1.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.37% ( 1.33) | 52.63% ( -1.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.72% ( 1.13) | 74.28% ( -1.13) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.51% ( -0.05) | 24.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.05% ( -0.07) | 58.95% ( 0.06) |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.71% ( 1.74) | 31.29% ( -1.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( 1.98) | 67.64% ( -1.98) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.43) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 25 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 22 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 20 |
4 | Toronto | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
6 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
7 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 16 |
8 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 14 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 12 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Orlando City | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 21 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 19 |
4 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
5 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 15 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 14 |
9 | St Louis City | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 11 |
11 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Portland TimbersPortland | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 10 |
13 | Dallas | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 7 |